Predictions about Bueno de Mesquita’s predictions

response to  Wonkadelica's post Odds

Who is saying he wasn't consulted on the confluence of events that led to 9/11 or the (what seemed obvious to even me before we even did it) catastrophic outcome of invading Iraq? I'm not saying Bueno de Mesquita did predict these events. I'm only saying that Bush and his administration have not been interested in taking the advice of anyone who wasn't telling them what they wanted to hear, even if that person had a 97% prediction accuracy rate.

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